Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

25 Sep 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela
Exposed population	80 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	180 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.6 m (24 Sep 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	180 km/h	n.a.	565 mm	2.5
GFS Overall	180 km/h	n.a.	565 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 80 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Canada, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands	76,608	+
	Canada	6,870
	Bermuda	62,003
	Turks and Caicos Islands	7,734
Tropical Storm	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela	5,331,081	+
	Canada	738,120
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	6,288
	United States	10,934
	Bahamas	293
	Turks and Caicos Islands	26,604
	Dominican Republic	1,035,201
	Cayman Islands	57,668
	Puerto Rico	3,154,054
	British Virgin Islands	25,568
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	106,290
	Antigua and Barbuda	91,818
	Saba	2,013
	Saint Eustatius	4,438
	Saint Kitts and Nevis	55,571
	Montserrat	5,124
	Guadeloupe	3,206
	Venezuela	7,884

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Other countries
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saba
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	122	Few people			-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	144	7 thousand			-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	155	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	180	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Sep 2022 18:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	22 Sep 2022 00:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	22 Sep 2022 06:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	22 Sep 2022 12:00	158	-		-	-	-	-	-	Venezuela
34	22 Sep 2022 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	23 Sep 2022 00:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bermuda
36	23 Sep 2022 06:00	169	60 thousand	-		-	-	-	-	Bermuda
37	23 Sep 2022 12:00	180	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bermuda
38	23 Sep 2022 18:00	180	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
39	24 Sep 2022 00:00	169	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
40	24 Sep 2022 06:00	155	4 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
41	24 Sep 2022 12:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
42	24 Sep 2022 18:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
43	25 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
44	25 Sep 2022 06:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
45	25 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
46	25 Sep 2022 18:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Cayman Islands

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Puerto Rico	00	+
250-500 mm	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama	3,683,112	+
	Turks and Caicos Islands	932
	Dominican Republic	153,298
	Puerto Rico	3,440,623
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	49,714
	Guadeloupe	6,172
	Colombia	11,788
	Venezuela	4,541
	Panama	16,040
100-250 mm	Canada, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Jamaica, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana	47,026,477	+
	Canada	1,492,164
	United States	10,382,650
	Bahamas	199,408
	Cuba	929,389
	Turks and Caicos Islands	33,406
	Haiti	382,916
	Dominican Republic	5,669,743
	British Virgin Islands	29,306
	Puerto Rico	242,614
	Jamaica	26,373
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	56,576
	Anguilla	12,768
	Saint-Martin	41,651
	Sint Maarten	39,623
	Saint-Barthélemy	10,440
	Antigua and Barbuda	90,007
	Saba	2,013
	Saint Eustatius	4,449
	Saint Kitts and Nevis	55,571
	Montserrat	5,124
	Guadeloupe	409,307
	Dominica	34,965
	Martinique	394,134
	Saint Lucia	184,999
	Colombia	5,268,541
	Barbados	284,214
	Venezuela	16,376,972
	Trinidad and Tobago	1,294,474
	Panama	3,065,707
	Guyana	6,958
50-100 mm	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cayman Islands, British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Colombia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Grenada, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana	55,216,289	+
	Canada	8,496,345
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	6,288
	United States	8,383,730
	Bermuda	62,003
	Bahamas	168,992
	Cuba	3,757,730
	Haiti	3,653,792
	Dominican Republic	3,901,506
	Cayman Islands	59,967
	British Virgin Islands	810
	Jamaica	2,131,441
	Anguilla	1,845
	Antigua and Barbuda	1,810
	Dominica	37,714
	Colombia	9,525,733
	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	109,461
	Aruba	103,889
	Grenada	106,824
	Curaçao	157,202
	Bonaire	18,397
	Venezuela	14,070,637
	Trinidad and Tobago	63,821
	Panama	38,693
	Guyana	357,646

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	53	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	155	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Montserrat
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	160	-		-	-	-	-	-	Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	192	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	211	2.4 million			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	131	690 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	122	320 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	134	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	125	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Dominican Republic, Venezuela
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Sep 2022 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	22 Sep 2022 00:00	154	6 thousand			-	-	-	-	Venezuela
32	22 Sep 2022 06:00	148	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	Venezuela
33	22 Sep 2022 12:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	22 Sep 2022 18:00	135	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Dominican Republic
35	23 Sep 2022 00:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	23 Sep 2022 06:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	23 Sep 2022 12:00	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	23 Sep 2022 18:00	164	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	24 Sep 2022 00:00	100	Few people			-	-	-	-	Canada
40	24 Sep 2022 06:00	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	24 Sep 2022 12:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	24 Sep 2022 18:00	186	-		-	-	-	-	-	Haiti
43	25 Sep 2022 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	25 Sep 2022 06:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	25 Sep 2022 12:00	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	25 Sep 2022 18:00	194	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Jamaica, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Barbados, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
1.0 - 2.0 m	Canada	394
0.5 - 1.0 m	Canada	10,979
0.25 - 0.5 m	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana	572,466	+
	Canada	95,560
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	1,581
	United States	262,294
	Turks and Caicos Islands	13,170
	Dominican Republic	21,110
	Puerto Rico	78,423
	Venezuela	72,884
	Trinidad and Tobago	3,503
	Guyana	23,936

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Impact

GDACS Score

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Wind Impact Timeline

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Rain Impact Timeline

StormSurge

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations