Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Canada, Bermuda, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Exposed population 60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 180 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (21 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 180 km/h n.a. 178 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 180 km/h n.a. 565 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 60 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Bermuda62,003 
Tropical StormCanada, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago73,538
+
Canada1,623 
Bahamas293 
Turks and Caicos Islands34,338 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela12,567 
Trinidad and Tobago6,318 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Other countries
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 79 -
- - - - - Canada, Saba
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 104 -
- - - - - British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 115 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Canada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic
GREEN 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
GREEN 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 122 Few people
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
ORANGE 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 144 7 thousand
- - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 155 2 thousand
- - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 184 60 thousand
- - - - Canada, Bermuda, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada, Dominican Republic, Aruba, Venezuela, Curaçao, Bonaire, Trinidad and Tobago617,350
+
Canada4,017 
Dominican Republic4,827 
Aruba103,887 
Curaçao74,219 
Bonaire4,353 
Venezuela95,210 
Trinidad and Tobago330,835 
50-100 mmCanada, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Colombia, Panama, Guyana10,806,816
+
Canada425,512 
Bermuda62,003 
Turks and Caicos Islands1,949 
Dominican Republic1,316,672 
Aruba01 
Curaçao82,983 
Bonaire14,044 
Venezuela6,441,560 
Trinidad and Tobago811,846 
Colombia1,421,640 
Panama203,170 
Guyana25,429 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 53 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 155 80 thousand
- - - - Antigua and Barbuda
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Montserrat
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 160 -
- - - - - Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 192 60 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 211 2.4 million
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 131 690 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico
Blue 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 110 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 122 320 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
Blue 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 134 20 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
Blue 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 125 -
- - - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Venezuela
Blue 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 133 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 159 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 162 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 377 620 thousand
- - - - Canada, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Colombia, Panama, Guyana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC