Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SITRANG-22
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan
23 Oct 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Oct 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 184 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 2.0 m 417 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 9.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, Bangladesh, Myanmar9,789,251
+
China292 
Bangladesh9,787,125 
Myanmar1,833 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 108 -
- - - - - China, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh2,369,866 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam67,687,879
+
China16,897 
India4,266,468 
Myanmar334,473 
Bhutan10,038 
Bangladesh62,599,816 
Vietnam460,184 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia96,474,331
+
China633,147 
India33,220,608 
Myanmar3,743,221 
Bhutan218,257 
Bangladesh38,546,866 
Vietnam4,671,230 
Laos9,925 
Thailand10,860 
Cambodia448,560 
Sri Lanka5,082,063 
Maldives36,285 
Malaysia9,746,168 
Indonesia107,136 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 357 70.1 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.6m in Chittagong, Nayamasti, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 24/10/2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24/10/2022 16:00 Chittagong, Nayamasti Bangladesh  2.6
24/10/2022 17:00 Chittagong, Nalchira Bangladesh  2.1
24/10/2022 12:00 Barisal, Char Paila Bangladesh  1.8
24/10/2022 15:00 Barisal, Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.7
24/10/2022 18:00 Chittagong, Jahajmara Bangladesh  1.7
26/10/2022 11:00 Nam Dinh, Long Chau Vietnam  1.4
26/10/2022 11:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 11:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 12:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 11:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 11:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 11:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  1.3
24/10/2022 16:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Dhurung Bangladesh  1.3
24/10/2022 17:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Lemsikhali Bangladesh  1.3
26/10/2022 12:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  1.3
26/10/2022 12:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  1.2
24/10/2022 12:00 Barisal, Char Bagala Bangladesh  0.9
24/10/2022 13:00 Rakhine, Aindin Myanmar  0.4
24/10/2022 01:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.3
23/10/2022 18:00 West Bengal, Bijavbati India  0.3
23/10/2022 17:00 Orissa, Chandipur India  0.3
24/10/2022 20:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.3
24/10/2022 14:00 Chittagong, Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.3
23/10/2022 23:00 Ayeyarwaddy, Alandaing Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 01:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 15:00 Orissa, Puri India  0.2
23/10/2022 17:00 Ayeyarwaddy, Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 16:00 Orissa, Gopalpur India  0.2
23/10/2022 16:00 Rakhine, Magyi Kyun Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 08:00 Tanintharyi, Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 22:00 Ayeyarwaddy, Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 22:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.2
23/10/2022 16:00 Rakhine, Taik Kyun Taikkyua Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 21:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.2
23/10/2022 20:00 Ayeyarwaddy, Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 18:00 Rakhine, Mawyen Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 16:00 Khulna, Dubla Bangladesh  0.2
24/10/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Ale-man Kyun Ale-hman Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 10:00 Tanintharyi, Kawthaung Myanmar  0.2
23/10/2022 15:00 Ayeyarwaddy, Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
24/10/2022 03:00 Sumatera Utara, Sumatera (Sumatra) Panipahan Indonesia  0.2
23/10/2022 14:00 Andhra Pradesh, Pakala India  0.1
23/10/2022 18:00 Andhra Pradesh, Ammalapadu India  0.1
23/10/2022 14:00 Jharkhand, Hukitala India  0.1
24/10/2022 11:00 Rakhine, Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
24/10/2022 13:00 Rakhine, Tandin Myanmar  0.1
23/10/2022 17:00 Rakhine, Ye Kyun Taung-ywa Myanmar  0.1
24/10/2022 10:00 Ranong, Ban Sin Hai Thailand  0.1
24/10/2022 04:00 Andhra Pradesh, Pudimadaka India  0.1
23/10/2022 21:00 Phuket, Ban Ko Nakha Yai Thailand  0.1
25/10/2022 16:00 West Bengal, Gangra India  0.1
23/10/2022 23:00 Perlis, Pulau Langkawi Kuah Malaysia  0.1
23/10/2022 14:00 Andhra Pradesh, Ullapalem India  0.1
24/10/2022 05:00 Selangor, Kampong Kaum Asli Malaysia  0.1
24/10/2022 17:00 Tamil Nadu, Kottaippattanam India  0.1
24/10/2022 04:00 Tamil Nadu, Kattumavadi India  0.1
24/10/2022 00:00 North Eastern, Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
23/10/2022 22:00 Tanintharyi, Mali Kyun Kyaukkayan Myanmar  0.1
23/10/2022 21:00 Ben Tre, Ap Phu My Vietnam  0.1
23/10/2022 17:00 Andhra Pradesh, Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
24/10/2022 00:00 Pulau Pinang, Pulau Pinang Bayan Lepas Malaysia  0.1
25/10/2022 10:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.0
25/10/2022 10:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.0
25/10/2022 11:00 Chon Buri, Ko Si Chang Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.0
25/10/2022 10:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Huai Sai Tai Thailand  0.0
25/10/2022 10:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Bang Gwai Thailand  0.0
25/10/2022 10:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Hua Hin Thailand  0.0