Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SITRANG-22
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan
24 Oct 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.8 m (24 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 1.8 m 190 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 2.0 m 417 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 6.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, Bangladesh, Myanmar6,876,744
+
China22 
Bangladesh6,874,889 
Myanmar1,833 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
GREEN 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - China, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, Vietnam18,298,121
+
Bangladesh18,110,096 
Vietnam188,024 
100-250 mmChina, India, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Indonesia43,847,511
+
China11,605 
India4,002,035 
Myanmar273 
Bhutan11,280 
Bangladesh38,963,361 
Vietnam854,554 
Laos175 
Indonesia4,224 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia58,008,675
+
China175,083 
India20,921,120 
Myanmar1,128,906 
Bhutan221,383 
Bangladesh30,041,869 
Vietnam2,796,278 
Laos33,554 
Cambodia1,746,930 
Thailand65,248 
Indonesia275,743 
Malaysia602,555 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 223 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 215 3.8 million
- - - - Bangladesh
Blue 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 298 62.1 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC