Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SITRANG-22
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan
25 Oct 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (25 Oct 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.6 m 109 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 2.0 m 417 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
GREEN 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 5 24 Oct 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 6 24 Oct 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Oct 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Oct 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVietnam, Thailand, Malaysia428,880
+
Vietnam231,661 
Thailand24,837 
Malaysia172,381 
50-100 mmChina, India, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Maldives, Indonesia23,764,121
+
China3,642 
India23,907 
Vietnam7,130,775 
Laos1,790 
Thailand895,343 
Cambodia2,385,834 
Sri Lanka48,378 
Malaysia12,890,613 
Maldives645 
Indonesia383,190 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 223 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 215 3.8 million
- - - - Bangladesh
Blue 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 190 29.5 million
- - - - Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia
Blue 5 24 Oct 2022 12:00 127 16 million
- - - - India, Bangladesh, Indonesia
Blue 6 24 Oct 2022 18:00 148 300 thousand
- - - - India, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 25 Oct 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - India, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 25 Oct 2022 06:00 158 430 thousand
- - - - China, India, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Maldives, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2022 06:00 UTC