Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 82 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (05 Dec 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 82 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 10.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India10,895,983
+
Iran216,212 
Pakistan445,254 
India10,234,517 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 82 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Umbargam, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Umbargam India  0.7
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Maroli India  0.7
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Daman India  0.7
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Udvada India  0.7
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Bordi India  0.7
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Gholvad India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Malyan India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Mumbai India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Mandve India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Uran India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Trombay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Taloje India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Kotada India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 08:30 Tarapur India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Mahuva India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Shirgaon India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Palghar India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Mahim India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Nalasopara India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Agashi India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Alibag India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Bhagva India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Olpad India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Boisar India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Damka India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Dongri India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Malad India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Dahej India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Harinagar India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Wadgam India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Kambhat India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Kavi India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Sarod India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Ghogha India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Asarsa India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Tankari India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Revadanda India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Murud India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 03:45 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 03:45 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Dharabandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Rohisa India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Anjanwel India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Guhagar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Boria India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 09:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:45 Dangarvadi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Adiura India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 07:00 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 16:15 Somnath India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:15 Vijayadurg India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 16:30 Veraval India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Chorwad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Mangrol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Shil India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Gorser India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Pural India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Ratia India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Achra India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Adodar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 16:15 'Urf Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Madgaon India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Miyani India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Lamba India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Vengurla India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Terekhol India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Majali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Karwar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Kumta India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Honavar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Shirali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Udipi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Ankola India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Kumbla India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Bhogat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Bekal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Edakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Mahe India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Badagara India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Madhi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Mulki India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Madayi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Cannanore India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:30 Pamban India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Madayipara India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Dwarka India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 14:15 Rameswaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Chervattur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:15 Tondi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Tirurangadi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Tanur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:00 Beypore India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Chaughat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Talikkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Jambura India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Jodiya India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Payyoli India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Quilandi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Gadechi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Manattala India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Chavakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Guruvayur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Pahel Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Laft Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Tuna India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Ponnani India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Cochin India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Mattancheri India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:00 Turavur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Okha India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:15 Kadikkad India  0.1