Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

17 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	700 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	4.2 m (18 May 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	176 km/h	4.2 m	204 mm	1.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 700 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	703,859
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	73,159,628	+
	Pakistan	272,555
	India	72,887,072

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	151	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
11	16 May 2021 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	176	700 thousand		-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	463,117
100-250 mm	India	49,078,722
50-100 mm	India, China, Nepal	71,680,378	+
	India	71,521,962
	China	29
	Nepal	158,386

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	193	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	215	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	16 May 2021 18:00	251	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	416	49.5 million				-	-	-	India, China, Nepal

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

4.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 4.2m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 02:00	Wadgam	India	4.2
	18 May 2021 02:00	Kambhat	India	4.1
	18 May 2021 02:00	Kavi	India	4.0
	18 May 2021 01:15	Sarod	India	4.0
	18 May 2021 02:00	Tankari	India	4.0
	18 May 2021 01:15	Asarsa	India	3.8
	18 May 2021 01:15	Harinagar	India	3.7
	18 May 2021 00:45	Ghogha	India	3.7
	18 May 2021 00:45	Dahej	India	3.6
	18 May 2021 01:15	Muler	India	3.5
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mahuva	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 23:45	Hansot	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 20:30	Kotada	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 19:30	Jafarabad	India	3.1
	17 May 2021 22:30	Bhagva	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 22:15	Damka	India	2.8
	17 May 2021 21:00	Olpad	India	2.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Rohisa	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 18:45	Dharabandar	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 20:45	Surat	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:45	Jalalpur	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:45	Mahuver	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Nausari	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 21:00	Navsari	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 18:30	Delvada	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 18:30	Nawabandar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Dharasana	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Valsad	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Bilimora	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 20:15	Udvada	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 18:45	Daman	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 19:00	Maroli	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 19:30	Umbargam	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Bordi	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Gholvad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Malyan	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Sakhare	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:15	Tarapur	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 18:15	Boisar	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:30	Dangarvadi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 19:15	Kotra Nes	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:15	Shirgaon	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:15	Palghar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:15	Mahim	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:15	Agashi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Mumbai	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Asumumbay	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Uran	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Trombay	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Diva	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:00	Taloje	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:15	Nalasopara	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:30	Malad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:15	Dongri	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:15	Vasai	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 14:15	Mira Bhayandar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 12:30	Navghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:45	Kodinar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 14:15	Mandve	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:45	Alibag	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:45	Revadanda	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 03:15	Bankot	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 03:15	Kelshi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Murud	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Lodhwa	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 03:00	Srivardhan	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 03:15	Guhagar	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:15	Anjanwel	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:00	Boria	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:15	Jaigarh	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:00	Mirya	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:45	Sutrapada	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:00	Purnagad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:45	Somnath	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:00	Purangad	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:45	Veraval	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 03:00	Adiura	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 13:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 13:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 13:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 13:15	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Gadechi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Okha	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Aramda	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:00	Pural	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 23:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:45	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:45	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Achra	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Jodiya	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Tuna	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 22:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Jambura	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:30	Sika	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:45	Mundra	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:30	Jhankhar	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:45	Navinal	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Akri	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:30	Salaya	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Malvan	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 08:45	Chudeswar	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:45	Bhadia	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 23:15	Mangrol	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:45	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Vengurla	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:45	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:45	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:45	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 01:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 01:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:15	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 23:30	Shil	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Marmagao	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Agacaim	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:15	Madgaon	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Ammapatam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:00	Ratia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 06:00	Miyani	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 22:45	Lamba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:30	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:00	Advota	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:00	Chaudi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:00	Majali	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Melmandai	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Vembar	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:15	Belekeri	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:15	Ankola	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 05:15	Gokarn	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 22:15	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:30	Bainduru	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 06:30	Chittadi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Manki	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Mavalli	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:30	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:15	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:15	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:15	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:30	Pasni	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:30	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 18:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 09:00	Kumta	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:45	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.