Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24 in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States from 28 Jun 2024 21:00 UTC to 09 Jul 2024 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24

in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States

09 Jul 2024 09 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
Exposed population	9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.6 m (08 Jul 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Jamaica)
Landfall	between 08 Jul 2024 03:00 - 08 Jul 2024 09:00 in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	269 km/h	1.6 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 28 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	139	4.7 million	20 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	167	4.9 million	320 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	167	6.8 million	2.2 million	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica
4	29 Jun 2024 15:00	167	4.1 million	70 thousand	Jamaica
5	29 Jun 2024 21:00	185	3.9 million	10 thousand	Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Jamaica, Cayman Islands
6	30 Jun 2024 03:00	204	3.6 million	10 thousand	Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Jamaica, Cayman Islands
7	30 Jun 2024 09:00	213	5.6 million	30 thousand	Grenada
8	30 Jun 2024 15:00	222	6.7 million	150 thousand	Grenada, Mexico
9	30 Jun 2024 21:00	231	9.1 million	450 thousand	Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada, Mexico
10	01 Jul 2024 03:00	213	9.3 million	530 thousand	Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Mexico
11	01 Jul 2024 09:00	157	7.5 million	470 thousand	Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Mexico, Belize
12	01 Jul 2024 15:00	222	6.8 million	490 thousand	Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
13	01 Jul 2024 21:00	241	7.1 million	200 thousand	Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
14	02 Jul 2024 03:00	148	9.1 million	350 thousand	Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica, Mexico
15	02 Jul 2024 09:00	194	10.9 million	740 thousand	Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica, Mexico
16	02 Jul 2024 15:00	222	16 million	2.7 million	Haiti, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica, Mexico
17	02 Jul 2024 21:00	231	18 million	2.6 million	Haiti, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica, Mexico
18	03 Jul 2024 03:00	231	19.6 million	2.3 million	Haiti, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica, Mexico
19	03 Jul 2024 09:00	231	19.8 million	1.1 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
20	03 Jul 2024 15:00	231	19.9 million	1.9 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
21	03 Jul 2024 21:00	222	20.9 million	1.5 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
22	04 Jul 2024 03:00	167	20.9 million	2.1 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
23	04 Jul 2024 09:00	148	20.6 million	1.8 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
24	04 Jul 2024 15:00	130	20.6 million	2.3 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico
25	04 Jul 2024 21:00	157	21.2 million	2 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize
26	05 Jul 2024 03:00	185	22.8 million	2.8 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize
27	05 Jul 2024 09:00	176	24.4 million	1.8 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize
28	05 Jul 2024 15:00	139	26.1 million	3.5 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
29	05 Jul 2024 21:00	148	23 million	2.6 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
30	06 Jul 2024 03:00	148	26.5 million	2.1 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
31	06 Jul 2024 09:00	148	30.8 million	2.2 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
32	06 Jul 2024 15:00	139	26.3 million	2.2 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
33	06 Jul 2024 21:00	139	30.1 million	2.1 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
34	07 Jul 2024 03:00	139	39.3 million	2.3 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
35	07 Jul 2024 09:00	139	28.3 million	2.2 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
36	07 Jul 2024 15:00	139	26.5 million	2.6 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
37	07 Jul 2024 21:00	139	26 million	5.7 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
38	08 Jul 2024 03:00	120	26 million	5.2 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
39	08 Jul 2024 09:00	130	27.3 million	8.6 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
40	08 Jul 2024 15:00	111	26.5 million	9 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
41	08 Jul 2024 21:00	74	28.2 million	9 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
42	09 Jul 2024 03:00	56	28 million	9 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
43	09 Jul 2024 09:00	46	28 million	9 million	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.1, -41.9
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -43.6
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9.8, -45.5
4	29 Jun 2024 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10, -47.8
5	29 Jun 2024 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	10.1, -49.3
6	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	10.4, -51.2
7	30 Jun 2024 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	10.7, -53.1
8	30 Jun 2024 15:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	10.7, -54.9
9	30 Jun 2024 21:00	Category 4	213	no people	300000 people	11.1, -56.5
10	01 Jul 2024 03:00	Category 4	213	no people	740000 people	11.5, -58.1
11	01 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 3	194	130000 people	1.8 million people	11.7, -59.9
12	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Category 4	222	130000 people	1.3 million people	12.4, -61.3
13	01 Jul 2024 21:00	Category 4	241	no people	53000 people	13.2, -63.2
14	02 Jul 2024 03:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	13.8, -64.9
15	02 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 5	269	no people	no people	14.6, -66.9
16	02 Jul 2024 15:00	Category 5	259	no people	4 million people	15.3, -68.9
17	02 Jul 2024 21:00	Category 4	250	no people	7.9 million people	15.9, -70.8
18	03 Jul 2024 03:00	Category 4	241	no people	8.7 million people	16.2, -72.7
19	03 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 4	231	210000 people	5.9 million people	16.6, -74.4
20	03 Jul 2024 15:00	Category 4	231	1.3 million people	4.1 million people	17.1, -76.1
21	03 Jul 2024 21:00	Category 4	222	770000 people	3 million people	17.5, -77.6
22	04 Jul 2024 03:00	Category 4	213	no people	2.9 million people	18, -79.2
23	04 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 3	194	no people	67000 people	18.5, -81
24	04 Jul 2024 15:00	Category 3	185	no people	180000 people	19, -82.6
25	04 Jul 2024 21:00	Category 2	176	no people	1.8 million people	19.5, -84.3
26	05 Jul 2024 03:00	Category 3	185	39000 people	2.2 million people	19.6, -85.5
27	05 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 2	176	370000 people	3.5 million people	20.1, -86.9	Mexico
28	05 Jul 2024 15:00	Category 1	139	1.4 million people	3.6 million people	20.7, -88.3	Mexico
29	05 Jul 2024 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	2.3 million people	21.2, -89.2	Mexico
30	06 Jul 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.7 million people	21.7, -90.2
31	06 Jul 2024 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	11000 people	22.2, -91.3
32	06 Jul 2024 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	23, -92.3
33	06 Jul 2024 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	23.9, -93
34	07 Jul 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	24.7, -94
35	07 Jul 2024 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	9200 people	25.3, -94.6
36	07 Jul 2024 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	330000 people	25.9, -95.1
37	07 Jul 2024 21:00	Tropical storm	102	5600 people	6.1 million people	26.8, -95.5
38	08 Jul 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	111	31000 people	8.4 million people	27.6, -95.6
39	08 Jul 2024 09:00	Category 1	130	6.6 million people	9.5 million people	28.6, -96	United States
40	08 Jul 2024 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	9.1 million people	29.8, -95.7	United States
41	08 Jul 2024 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	10.9 million people	31.3, -95.1	United States
42	09 Jul 2024 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	32.8, -94.3	United States
43	09 Jul 2024 09:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	33.9, -93.7	United States
43	09 Jul 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	36.6, -91.4	United States
43	10 Jul 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	39.5, -87.9	United States
43	10 Jul 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	41.9, -83.9	United States
43	11 Jul 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	43.7, -80.2	Canada
43	11 Jul 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	45.3, -77.7	Canada

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nuclear Facilities

Site Name	Type	Name	Country
Site-College Station	Research reactor	AGN-201 Texas A&M Univ.	United States of America
Site-College Station	Research reactor	NSCR Texas A&M Univ.	United States of America
Site-South Texas	Nuclear Power Reactor	South Texas-1	United States of America
Site-South Texas	Nuclear Power Reactor	South Texas-2	United States of America
Site-Kingston	Research reactor	UWI CNS SLOWPOKE	Giamaica

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.