Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 1.3 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 130 920 thousand No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.2 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 120 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 111 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
GREEN
11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
GREEN
12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
GREEN
13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.9
GREEN
16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.8
GREEN
17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.6
GREEN
18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.4
GREEN
19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, 57.1
GREEN
19 13 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 58000 people no people 14.5, 56.1 Yemen
GREEN
19 13 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 170000 people no people 14.4, 54.6 Yemen
GREEN
19 14 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 680000 people no people 14.6, 52.7 Yemen
GREEN
19 14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 1.2 million people no people 14.9, 50.8 Yemen
GREEN
19 15 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 590000 people no people 16.2, 48.7 Yemen
GREEN
19 16 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.3, 48.1 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Oman
Yemen
Saudi Arabia

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Zufar Oman -
Aden Yemen 3.2 million people
Al Mahrah Yemen -
Ash Sharqiyah Saudi Arabia -
Hadhramaut Yemen -
'Ataq Yemen -
Undefined Yemen -
Najran Saudi Arabia 320000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City - 832 km
Al Mukalla Yemen City - 859 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Socotra SCT 46 Civ. Unpaved No 8200 408 km
Al Gaidah AAY 30 Civ. Paved No 8800 557 km
Qishn IHN 30 Civ. Unpaved No 3200 588 km
Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800 832 km
Mukalla MKX unknown 0 859 km
Canoxy 1003 0 869 km
Sayun GXF 640 Civ. Unpaved No 9800 906 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Hadibu Yemen 391 km
Damqawt Yemen 505 km
Ras Fartak Yemen 538 km
Nishtun YENIS Yemen 544 km
Sayhut Yemen 639 km
Ash Shihr Yemen 821 km
Mukalla YEMKX Yemen 858 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Musaina'a, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (32 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 19 of 12 Oct 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hasana Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Miji Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
14 Oct 2018 07:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1