Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 85 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Dec 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 85 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 590 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India591,525
+
Iran185,042 
Pakistan389,446 
India17,037 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Mumbai India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Asumumbay India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Mandve India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Uran India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Trombay India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Taloje India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Revadanda India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Murud India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Anjanwel India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Srivardhan India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Bankot India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Kelshi India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Wadgam India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Kambhat India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Kavi India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Sarod India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Alibag India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Tanur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Ponnani India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Boria India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Madayipara India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Madayi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Shirali India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Malad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Mirya India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Dongri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Agashi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:30 Udipi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:15 Bainduru India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:15 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Ghogha India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:15 Kasaragod India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:15 Bekal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Harinagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Tankari India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Purangad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Purnagad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Adiura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:00 Dahej India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Anjuna India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Marmagao India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Panaji India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Palghar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Mahim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Mahuva India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Udvada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Bhagva India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Olpad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Vijayadurg India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Mulki India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Mangaluru India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Beypore India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Kumta India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Honavar India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Gholvad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Bordi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Maroli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 14:45 Boisar India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Chervattur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Kozhikode India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kotada India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 17:30 Karwar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 17:30 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 17:30 Ankola India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 17:30 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Daman India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Pural India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:15 Kumbla India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Quilandi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Malyan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Devgarh India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Achra India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Cannanore India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Damka India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Edakkad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Mahe India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 12:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:15 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Dharabandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Rohisa India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Advota India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Majali India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:30 Badagara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Delvada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Madgaon India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Turavur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Manattala India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Chavakkad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Guruvayur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 01:00 Chaughat India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Valapattanam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Azhikkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Kotra Nes India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Vijayapati India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Periathullay India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Agastiswaram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Cape Comorin India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Erukkandurai India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 04:45 Payyoli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Lodhwa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 03:45 Cochin India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:45 Mattancheri India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Tiruchendur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Somnath India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:00 Veraval India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Anjengo India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Vilinjam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Chorwad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Haripad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Mangrol India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Shil India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kolachel India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Quilon India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Ratia India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Gorser India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Alleppey India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Kilakarai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 22:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 22:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 22:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Adodar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Varkkallai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Pondicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Kalapettai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Pahel Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:30 Laft Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Moratuwa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Panadura Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Wadduwa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Kalutara Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Puvar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Beruwala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Akadagoda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Ambalangoda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 'Urf Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 00:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Porbandar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:45 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Sittandy Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Vedakudiyiruppu Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Batticaloa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Kattankudi Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Sikkal India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Okha India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Aramda India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 16:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 16:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 16:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:45 Hambantota Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:45 Kirinda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Colombo Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Dehiwala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Wattala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Ja-Ela Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:00 Male Maldives  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Chilaw Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Adapparagama Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Arachchikattuwa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 04:00 Akkaraweli Sri Lanka  0.1