Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HECTOR-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HECTOR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Aug 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 168 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

190 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico5 
Tropical StormMexico651 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 77 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 150 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 150 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jul 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 1 05 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Aug 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Aug 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Aug 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Aug 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2018 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2018 22:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 03:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 20:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 04:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 01:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Olowalu United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Kahakuloa United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Waihee United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Hyashi Village United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Wailuku United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Kahului United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Puunene United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Village Eight United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Hawaiian Village United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Paia United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Haiku United States  0.3
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Pauwela United States  0.3
07 Aug 2018 19:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
08 Aug 2018 02:45 Cedros Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2018 18:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Loreto Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 01:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
06 Aug 2018 01:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
07 Aug 2018 19:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 19:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 00:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 01:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 04:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 03:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 05:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 01:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 17:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 21:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 19:45 Ulumalu United States  0.2
07 Aug 2018 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 04:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2018 18:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 21:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2018 08:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
07 Aug 2018 20:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2018 04:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 19:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 21:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 21:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 19:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 20:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 03:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 03:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 03:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Haena United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Wainiha United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Hanalei United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Princeville United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Kilauea United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Kealia United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Moloaa United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Kapaa United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Anahola United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 13:30 Kumukumu United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
07 Aug 2018 19:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 16:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Umipaa United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Kaunakakai United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Moku United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Kamalo United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Kaluaaha United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Keomuku United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Ualapue United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 11:30 Pukoo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 18:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2018 18:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Laupahoehoe United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Papaaloa United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Weloka United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Ninole United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Hakalau United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Honomu United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Pepeekeo United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Wainaku United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Papaikou United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Paukaa United States  0.1
06 Aug 2018 20:15 Hilo United States  0.1
08 Aug 2018 08:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link