Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

01 Nov 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (02 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	231 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Sri Lanka	38,055
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	4,931,476	+
	India	3,404,264
	Sri Lanka	1,527,212

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	333	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	591	150 thousand				-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 12:00	251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Nov 2019 00:00	690	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Kambhat	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Kavi	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Sarod	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Wadgam	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Dahej	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Harinagar	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Ghogha	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Damka	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Kotada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Umbargam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Maroli	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Daman	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Udvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Mahuva	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Rohisa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Bordi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Gholvad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Delvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Malyan	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Boisar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Palghar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Kodinar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mahim	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Veraval	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Shil	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Mangrol	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Chorwad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Malad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Gorser	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Porbandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Alibag	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Lamba	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Miyani	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Bhogat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Revadanda	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 19:15	Madhi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Murud	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 19:30	Dwarka	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Tuna	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Jodiya	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Gadechi	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Okha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Jambura	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 20:15	Suthri	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Aramda	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Mundra	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Sika	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Kelshi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:15	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:45	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:45	Anjuna	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Adiura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Pural	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:00	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:15	Malvan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 10:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 12:00	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 12:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 20:45	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Edakkad	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Mahe	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Badagara	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Payyoli	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 04:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 05:45	Hasik	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Bekal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Chervattur	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 12:15	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 12:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:45	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 15:30	Periathullay	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 15:30	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 15:30	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 15:30	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Madayi	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Kumbla	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Madayipara	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.