Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia
02 Dec 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Dec 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 476 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 778 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmYemen24,970 
50-100 mmYemen, Somalia22,675
+
Yemen22,351 
Somalia324 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 786 20 thousand
- - - - Yemen, Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Sala Gon, Somalia. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Sala Gon Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 19:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:30 Hen Daier Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:30 Hobyo Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Eyl Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:00 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:00 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
02 Dec 2019 15:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 15:00 'Ag Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 14:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Kamaran Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Sayfaf Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Qurayyah Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.2
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 19:00 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 14:30 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:30 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 17:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2019 17:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2019 17:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2019 17:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2019 14:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 00:00 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 00:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 00:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:45 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.1
02 Dec 2019 19:15 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 14:15 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 14:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 00:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 00:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 23:15 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Jabanah Yemen  0.1
02 Dec 2019 22:45 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1