Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

10 Aug 2020 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	119 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (11 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	119 km/h	0.5 m	134 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	151 km/h	0.8 m	364 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	05

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

364 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	470

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	286	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	200	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	194	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.5
	10 Aug 2020 21:30	Molino	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 21:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 21:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 18:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 18:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 18:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 21:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 21:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 21:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 21:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 23:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 19:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 23:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 19:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 19:45	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 00:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:30	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:30	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:30	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:30	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:30	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 18:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 23:30	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 22:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.