Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
17 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (17 Jan 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 13 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 805 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia217,120
+
Indonesia1,705 
Papua New Guinea15,432 
Australia199,983 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia426,756
+
Indonesia107,430 
Papua New Guinea107,570 
Australia211,756 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 340 220 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Jan 2021 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jan 2021 14:30 Karumba Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 22:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 21:45 Heits Indonesia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 05:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 05:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Matara Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Urum Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Daub Indonesia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Coolbie Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 13:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Lucinda Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:30 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:30 Cardwell Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 21:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:45 Carmila Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:45 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:15 Kowanyama Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:15 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:15 Elim Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Pallarenda Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Townsville Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 07:00 Mapoon Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Saibai Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 18:45 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Cluden Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Oolbun Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Per Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Amborip Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Jow Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:45 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 06:45 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 04:15 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:30 Dauan Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 05:30 Boigu Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 05:30 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Sisiama No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:15 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:15 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:15 Conway Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 06:15 Midgeton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 17:45 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Gove Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 07:45 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 07:45 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 14:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.1