Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

17 Jan 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (18 Jan 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	72 km/h	0.5 m	20 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	76 km/h	0.3 m	785 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	2,450

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
750-1000 mm	Australia	7,596
500-750 mm	Australia	62,558
250-500 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	138,257	+
	Indonesia	3,221
	Papua New Guinea	495
	Australia	134,541
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	335,376	+
	Indonesia	42,997
	Papua New Guinea	163,898
	Australia	128,481
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	1,032,480	+
	Indonesia	51,919
	Papua New Guinea	762,829
	Australia	217,732

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	972	540 thousand						-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Moongobulla, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jan 2021 14:45	Moongobulla	Australia	0.5
	18 Jan 2021 14:45	Rollingstone	Australia	0.5
	18 Jan 2021 14:45	Kinduro	Australia	0.5
	18 Jan 2021 13:30	Coolbie	Australia	0.5
	18 Jan 2021 13:30	Mutarnee	Australia	0.5
	18 Jan 2021 12:30	Halifax	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 12:30	Cassady	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Pallarenda	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Townsville	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Oonoonba	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 12:15	Lucinda	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 04:30	Lower Tully	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 04:30	Cardwell	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 04:15	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.4
	18 Jan 2021 15:15	Cluden	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 15:15	Oolbun	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 03:15	Innisfail	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 13:00	Alva	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 18:30	Rita Island	Australia	0.2
	20 Jan 2021 05:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 12:00	Carstairs	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 00:45	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 00:45	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Dokib	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:45	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:45	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 04:30	Heits	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:45	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:00	Lethebrook	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:00	Conway	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:00	Midgeton	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 07:15	Karumba	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 15:45	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 12:45	Ayton	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 17:15	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:15	Cannon Valley	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:15	Windermere	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 17:15	Cairns	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 17:15	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Trinity Beach	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Barron Falls	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Freshwater	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Yorkeys Knob	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Stratford	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Woree	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 02:15	Edge Hill	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 12:30	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 12:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.