Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
18 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (18 Jan 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 37 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

857 mm

Up to 150 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmAustralia16 
500-750 mmAustralia15,327 
250-500 mmAustralia19,919 
100-250 mmAustralia189,176 
50-100 mmAustralia146,061 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 29 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 872 220 thousand
- Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2021 02:15 Coolbie Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 02:15 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Cassady Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:45 Cardwell Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:15 Lucinda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 02:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 02:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Cluden Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Oolbun Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Deeral Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Alva Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Carstairs Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:45 Rita Island Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:00 Cairns Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:00 Kamma Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:45 Hockley Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Mossman Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Miallo Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Wonga Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:30 Carmila Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:30 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 00:30 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1