Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico
27 Jun 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (28 Jun 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 222 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico1,955 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

750 mm

Up to 1.3 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico224,713 
100-250 mmMexico1,059,691 
50-100 mmMexico, United States23,274,634
+
Mexico23,252,183 
United States22,451 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 469 1.3 million
- - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nadeau, United States. This height is estimated for 28 Jun 2021 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Nadeau United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Texas City United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Virginia Point United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Galveston United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Fort Travis United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Mims United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Hitchcock United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 10:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 11:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Olivia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 01:45 Indianola United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Matagorda United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Chinquapin United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 North Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Doyle United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Portland United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Gregory United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Austwell United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 04:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Estes United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Port Aransas United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Rockport United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:45 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:30 Lamar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 14:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 14:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 15:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Bayside United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 16:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Chola Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Surfside United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 09:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 15:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 02:45 Palacios United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Simpsonville United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 15:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Freeport United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:00 Quintana United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 13:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 13:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 00:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 20:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1