Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Aug 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 96 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 144 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico2,820 
50-100 mmMexico197,256 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 410 3 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 01:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 05:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 08:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 18:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 18:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1