Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
02 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Oct 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 152 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 341 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala150,960
+
Mexico136,683 
Guatemala14,277 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador5,921,454
+
United States5,794 
Mexico2,870,264 
Guatemala2,753,362 
El Salvador292,033 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Sep 2022 12:00 307 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 00:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Oct 2022 00:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Oct 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Oct 2022 00:00 490 150 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Oct 2022 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Oct 2022 22:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 16:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 21:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 21:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 04:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 13:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 04:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 La Choya Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:45 Campeche Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Almonte United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Marin City United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Edgemar United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Daly City United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Westborough United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Colma United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Baden United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 San Bruno United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 San Francisco United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 South San Francisco United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 North Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Tanforan United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Millbrae United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Brisbane United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Bayview District United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:30 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:15 Victoria Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Summerland United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Rincon United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Shepards United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Punta United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Faria United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Dulah United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 02:45 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 17:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 09:00 Montecito United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:45 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Surfside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 20:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:30 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Ventura United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 03:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 North Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Doyle United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Portland United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Gregory United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 23:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 23:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 07:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:30 Mission United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 20:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Point Comfort United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Olivia United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Port Alto United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 Carancahua United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:15 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Carmel United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Monterey United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Workfield United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Seaside United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Ord United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Marina United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Moss Landing United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Neponset United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Nashua United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Castroville United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:15 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:15 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 04:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:15 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:30 Estes United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:30 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 04:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Rockport United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 Fulton United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Woodville United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Bolinas United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Kentfield United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Larkspur United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 Green Brae United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 07:30 San Quentin United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Roseville United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 San Diego United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Coronado United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Boal United States  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 21:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 21:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
04 Oct 2022 21:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Montara United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Burlingame United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:45 Hillsborough United States  0.1
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:30 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 05:15 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Anchor Bay United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Gualala United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Sea Ranch United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Valley Crossing United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Stewarts Point United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Plantation United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 22:30 Walsh Landing United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 16:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Capitan United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Naples United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Coromar United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 21:45 Goleta United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 01:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 01:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 03:30 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
02 Oct 2022 02:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
03 Oct 2022 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Moss Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Princeton United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 El Granada United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Miramar United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Martins Beach United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Tunitas United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 San Gregorio United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 San Mateo United States  0.1
02 Oct 2022 08:00 Hillsdale United States  0.1
03 Oct 2022 23:30 Noham Mexico  0.1