Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
20 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (20 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 4.7 m 144 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 130 km/h 4.7 m 421 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

Up to 80 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico80,495
+
United States93 
Mexico80,402 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 166 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico193,144 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico1,127,482
+
United States281,310 
Mexico846,172 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 213 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 381 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 319 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 203 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 246 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 241 390 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 275 500 thousand
- - - United States, Mexico
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 143 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 298 190 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 06:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 01:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Peary Place United States  0.2
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 05:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Sabine United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 02:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 02:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 High Island United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Caplen United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Flake United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Patton United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Surfside United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Seal Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Balboa United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 03:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Roseville United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 San Diego United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Coronado United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Boal United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Stuart United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Oceanside United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Carlsbad United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Ponto United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Encinitas United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Solana Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Del Mar United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Sorrento United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 La Jolla United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Easter Cross United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Agra United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Texas City United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Galveston United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 San Clemente United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 La Mision Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 01:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Clifton United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Avalon United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Two Harbors United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Alsace United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 05:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 04:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 06:00 Cameron United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1