Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
24 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (24 Oct 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 189 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 0.5 m 1338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

248 km/h

Up to 420 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia422,111 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 205 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia02 
100-250 mmIndia1,131,961 
50-100 mmIndia6,894,903 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 693 1.1 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 24 Oct 2019 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Vengurla India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Terekhol India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Mirya India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Ratnagiri India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Chopdem India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Anjuna India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Marmagao India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Panaji India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 00:00 Agacaim India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Madgaon India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Devgarh India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Achra India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Jaigarh India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Kumta India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Honavar India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Manki India  0.3
24 Oct 2019 21:30 Guhagar India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:30 Anjanwel India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Boria India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Belekeri India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Ankola India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Gokarn India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Purangad India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Purnagad India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Malvan India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Khalil Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Khadra' Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Vijayadurg India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Pural India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Advota India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:30 Chaudi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Bankot India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Kelshi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 20:45 Adiura India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Murud India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Karwar India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Mavalli India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Shirali India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Majali India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Bainduru India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Chittadi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Kundapura India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Beypore India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Chaliyam India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tanur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Talakkolattur India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Kozhikode India  0.2
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Ponnani India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Quilandi India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Edakkad India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Mahe India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Badagara India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Payyoli India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Cannanore India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Kumbla India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Bekal India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:30 Revadanda India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:15 Udipi India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Madayi India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Chervattur India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Trikkaripur India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:45 Madayipara India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Dangarvadi India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Nawabandar India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Kotra Nes India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:30 Mulki India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Alibag India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Delvada India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:00 Rohisa India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 23:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Barka Oman  0.1
24 Oct 2019 22:15 Manumah Oman  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Lodhwa India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Kodinar India  0.1
24 Oct 2019 21:45 Kadikkad India  0.1