Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 238 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (27 Oct 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 238 km/h 0.4 m 367 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 0.5 m 1338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 122 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 248 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 241 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1338 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 189 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 154 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 131 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 301 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 252 -
- - - - - India
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 284 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 1249 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Jafarabad, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Rohisa India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Suthri India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Dharabandar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Dangarvadi India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Delvada India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Nawabandar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Tarapur India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Shirgaon India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Malyan India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Boisar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:30 Palghar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 19:30 Mahim India  0.4
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Somnath India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Maroli India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Mahuva India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Mangrol India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Chorwad India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 20:00 Gholvad India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 20:00 Bordi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 20:00 Umbargam India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Okha India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Aramda India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:00 Gadechi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Kodinar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 21:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Mandvi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Veraval India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Ratia India  0.3
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Gorser India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Shil India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Dwarka India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Madhi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Bhadia India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Adodar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Porbandar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Daman India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Udvada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Bhogat India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Lamba India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:00 Miyani India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Navinal India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Kotada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Dongri India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Malad India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Vasai India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 21:45 Jambura India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Nalasopara India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Agashi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Damka India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Surat India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Mahuver India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Dahej India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Harinagar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Hansot India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Tuna India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Sika India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Billa Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Murayjat Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Barka Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Uran India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Trombay India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Diva India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Taloje India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Bhagva India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Mumbai India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Ghogha India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:30 Filim Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:30 Mundra India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Alibag India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Mandve India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:45 Murud India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Revadanda India  0.2
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Asarsa India  0.2
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Tankari India  0.2
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Muler India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Khalil Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Khadra' Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:00 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:30 Srivardhan India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:30 Bankot India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:30 Kelshi India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Masnaah Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Ascira Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Guhagar India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 'Urf Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Mursays Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Hiql Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Dawwah Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Maghilah Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:15 Boria India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Mirya India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Matrah Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Masqat Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Yiti Oman  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Mach Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 21:15 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Purangad India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Purnagad India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Adiura India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Marmagao India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Agacaim India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Madgaon India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:00 As Sifah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:15 Ratnagiri India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Manumah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Vijayadurg India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Devgarh India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Pural India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Wadgam India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:45 Achra India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Kambhat India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Kavi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:00 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:00 'Ag Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:00 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Kumta India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Honavar India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Manki India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Belekeri India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Ankola India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Gokarn India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 19:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Terekhol India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Chopdem India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Anjuna India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Panaji India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Mavalli India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Shirali India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:45 Bhatkal India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Vengurla India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:30 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Tabut Yemen  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Tanur India  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Malvan India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Majali India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Karwar India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Udipi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Ramlah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:30 Quryat Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Mulki India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Sib Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 18:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Salalah Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
28 Oct 2019 00:00 Sudh Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
27 Oct 2019 21:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 22:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Bainduru India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Chittadi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:30 Kundapura India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Advota India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 23:45 Chaudi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Kumbla India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 20:45 Kasaragod India  0.1