Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
25 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 Oct 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 122 km/h 0.4 m 252 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 0.5 m 1338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia230,390 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 216 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1338 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia2,116 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 189 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 154 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 131 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 301 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 603 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Boria, India. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Boria India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Guhagar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Anjanwel India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Jaigarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Bankot India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Kelshi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Murud India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Vijayadurg India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Revadanda India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Devgarh India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Pural India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Alibag India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 20:00 Vengurla India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 20:00 Terekhol India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:00 Achra India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Malvan India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Chopdem India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Marmagao India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Agacaim India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Madgaon India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Anjuna India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Panaji India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Gokarn India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Kumta India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Honavar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Belekeri India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Ankola India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Manki India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Mavalli India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Shirali India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Bhatkal India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Mandve India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:30 Karwar India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Ascira Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Advota India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Chaudi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Majali India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:30 Bainduru India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:15 Chittadi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Kundapura India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Udipi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Mumbai India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Mulki India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:00 Mahuva India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Malad India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Mangaluru India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 22:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Tanur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Ponnani India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Veliyangod India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Kumbla India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Bekal India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:30 Jafarabad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Dongri India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Dharabandar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Rohisa India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Vasai India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 21:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Chaliyam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:30 Tirurangadi India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 22:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Delvada India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:45 Nawabandar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Chirakkal India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Cannanore India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Edakkad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 23:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:00 Shil India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 20:00 Mangrol India  0.1