Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
25 Oct 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (25 Oct 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 301 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 0.5 m 1338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

248 km/h

Up to 660 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia661,108 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 216 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia64,581 
50-100 mmIndia387,215 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 189 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 154 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 131 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 632 60 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Vengurla India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Terekhol India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Chopdem India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Anjuna India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Marmagao India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Panaji India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Agacaim India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Mirya India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Ratnagiri India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Purangad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Purnagad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Adiura India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Achra India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Malvan India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Devgarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Madgaon India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vijayadurg India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Pural India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Advota India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Chaudi India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Majali India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Boria India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Guhagar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Anjanwel India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Karwar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Belekeri India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Ankola India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Gokarn India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Kumta India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Honavar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Manki India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Mavalli India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Shirali India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Bhatkal India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Bainduru India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Chittadi India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Kundapura India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Bankot India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Kelshi India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Udipi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Murud India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Mulki India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Mangaluru India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Kumbla India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Revadanda India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Alibag India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Kasaragod India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Bekal India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Mumbai India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Asumumbay India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Mandve India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahuva India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Boho Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Agashi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Dongri India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Vasai India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Chervattur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:15 Madayipara India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:15 Madayi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Tarapur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Gholvad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Malyan India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Boisar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Beypore India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1