Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENALA-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENALA-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (25 Feb 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.4 m 585 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.4 m 585 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2023 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Feb 2023 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Feb 2023 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Feb 2023 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Feb 2023 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Feb 2023 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 Feb 2023 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Feb 2023 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Feb 2023 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Feb 2023 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 24 Feb 2023 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Feb 2023 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 25 Feb 2023 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 25 Feb 2023 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 25 Feb 2023 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 26 Feb 2023 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 26 Feb 2023 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 26 Feb 2023 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 27 Feb 2023 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 27 Feb 2023 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 27 Feb 2023 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 27 Feb 2023 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 28 Feb 2023 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 28 Feb 2023 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 28 Feb 2023 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 28 Feb 2023 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 01 Mar 2023 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

585 mm

Up to 160 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2023 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMadagascar158,519 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Reunion2,365,815
+
Madagascar2,355,929 
Reunion9,885 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Feb 2023 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Feb 2023 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Feb 2023 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Feb 2023 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Feb 2023 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Feb 2023 12:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Feb 2023 18:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Feb 2023 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Feb 2023 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Feb 2023 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 24 Feb 2023 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Feb 2023 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Feb 2023 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Feb 2023 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Feb 2023 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Feb 2023 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Feb 2023 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Feb 2023 12:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 26 Feb 2023 18:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 27 Feb 2023 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 27 Feb 2023 06:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 27 Feb 2023 12:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 27 Feb 2023 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 28 Feb 2023 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 28 Feb 2023 06:00 39 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 28 Feb 2023 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 28 Feb 2023 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 01 Mar 2023 00:00 131 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 25 Feb 2023 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2023 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mSeychelles, Madagascar54,095
+
Seychelles12,560 
Madagascar41,535 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Mar 2023 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Feb 2023 09:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 09:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 09:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 09:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 09:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.4
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 19:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 19:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 19:45 Manakalana Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 19:45 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 19:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:45 Victoria Seychelles  0.3
23 Feb 2023 15:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 15:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 00:00 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.3
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:45 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.3
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Fararano Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.3
25 Feb 2023 08:15 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 00:00 La Reunion Seychelles  0.3
23 Feb 2023 16:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 16:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 16:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 16:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 03:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 03:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 00:45 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 03:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 06:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 01:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 23:45 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 23:45 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 09:15 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 09:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 09:15 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 10:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 10:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 09:30 Irodo Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:15 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:15 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:15 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 15:30 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 15:30 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 15:30 Vavony Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Tamatave Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.2
25 Feb 2023 07:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 13:30 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Antanambao Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Vohemar Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Tampina Madagascar  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:15 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 00:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 00:15 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 02:45 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 02:45 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 02:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
23 Feb 2023 00:45 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 05:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
22 Feb 2023 12:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
22 Feb 2023 12:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
23 Feb 2023 14:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
24 Feb 2023 14:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
24 Feb 2023 14:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
23 Feb 2023 13:45 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1