Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
02 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Jul 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.4 m 246 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCosta Rica, Colombia31,118
+
Colombia852 
Costa Rica30,265 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela5,905,540
+
Mexico5,771 
Dominican Republic6,723 
Honduras434 
Nicaragua3,226,912 
Colombia899,749 
Costa Rica1,760,346 
Venezuela5,603 
50-100 mmMexico, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Haiti, Belize, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Brazil22,751,756
+
Mexico1,003,012 
Dominican Republic3,705,800 
Puerto Rico01 
Haiti1,478 
Belize75,199 
Antigua and Barbuda2,141 
Guadeloupe188,825 
Guatemala860,213 
Honduras585,328 
Dominica6,850 
Nicaragua2,195,983 
El Salvador4,082,952 
Colombia6,857,337 
Costa Rica2,301,866 
Venezuela836,962 
Trinidad and Tobago7,970 
Panama33,435 
Guyana235 
Brazil6,160 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 120 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
Blue 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 185 Few people
- - - - Guyana, Brazil
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Colombia, French Guiana
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 171 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
Blue 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 143 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 130 50 thousand
- - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
Blue 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 390 5.9 million
- - - Mexico, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Haiti, Belize, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC