Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IAN-22
in United States, Cuba
30 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IAN-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 5.0 m (03 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Cuba)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 108 km/h 5.0 m 305 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 162 km/h 5.0 m 555 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 230 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States234,356 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2022 00:00 205 -
- - - - - United States, Bermuda
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2022 12:00 241 -
- - - - - Bermuda
GREEN 4 24 Sep 2022 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Sep 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Sep 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
GREEN 9 26 Sep 2022 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
GREEN 10 27 Sep 2022 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Cuba
GREEN 11 27 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - United States, Cuba
GREEN 12 28 Sep 2022 00:00 209 Few people
- - - - United States
GREEN 13 28 Sep 2022 12:00 202 200 thousand
- - - United States
GREEN 14 29 Sep 2022 00:00 104 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 15 29 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 16 30 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Colombia4,109,247
+
United States3,500,480 
Mexico32,074 
Honduras34,965 
Nicaragua134,288 
Colombia231,647 
Costa Rica154,977 
Venezuela19,763 
Panama1,050 
50-100 mmUnited States, Bahamas, Cuba, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Brazil43,592,098
+
United States22,789,085 
Bahamas2,960 
Cuba464,347 
Jamaica89,313 
Puerto Rico1,496 
Antigua and Barbuda3,234 
Mexico798,478 
Honduras605,891 
Guatemala2,415,497 
El Salvador522,987 
Nicaragua4,397,871 
Colombia7,819,989 
Costa Rica2,093,085 
Venezuela1,199,700 
Panama387,813 
Brazil347 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 12:00 187 -
- - - - - Mexico, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 2 23 Sep 2022 00:00 226 -
- - - - - Curaçao, Bonaire
Blue 3 23 Sep 2022 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 4 24 Sep 2022 00:00 96 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 5 24 Sep 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Honduras, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 6 25 Sep 2022 00:00 117 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Costa Rica
Blue 7 25 Sep 2022 12:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Sep 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - United States, Cayman Islands, Guatemala, Colombia, Guyana
Blue 9 26 Sep 2022 12:00 127 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica
Blue 10 27 Sep 2022 00:00 211 480 thousand
- - - - United States, Cuba, Costa Rica
Blue 11 27 Sep 2022 12:00 202 20 thousand
- - - - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia
Blue 12 28 Sep 2022 00:00 365 Few people
- - - - United States, Cuba, Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia
Blue 13 28 Sep 2022 12:00 445 830 thousand
- - - United States, Mexico, Haiti, Colombia
Blue 14 29 Sep 2022 00:00 215 2.8 million
- - - - United States, Belize, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia
Blue 15 29 Sep 2022 12:00 538 -
- - - - - United States, Honduras, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 16 30 Sep 2022 00:00 331 4.1 million
- - - - United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC