Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 78 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Dec 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 78 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 7.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India7,432,206
+
Iran118,773 
Pakistan381,719 
India6,931,714 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 78 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Mumbai India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Asumumbay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Mandve India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Uran India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Trombay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Taloje India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Shirgaon India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Palghar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Mahim India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:15 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Dongri India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Tarapur India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Malad India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Ghogha India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Asarsa India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Harinagar India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Tankari India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 05:45 Dahej India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:30 Damka India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Bhagva India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Olpad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Malyan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Revadanda India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Wadgam India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Kambhat India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:45 Kavi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:00 Sarod India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Gholvad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:15 Udvada India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Daman India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:30 Maroli India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:30 Umbargam India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Kotada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Alibag India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Murud India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Bordi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Mahuva India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Kelshi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Anjanwel India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Guhagar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 01:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 01:45 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Purnagad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Adiura India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Vijayadurg India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Lodhwa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Sutrapada India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Somnath India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Pural India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Veraval India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Chorwad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Achra India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:00 Malvan India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Gorser India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:15 Anjuna India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:30 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:15 Bainduru India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:00 Adodar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Kumta India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Chittadi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Miyani India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Lamba India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Mulki India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Kundapura India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Udipi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Bhogat India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Devipatam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Irumeni India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Pamban India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Cochin India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Madhi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Nileshwar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Chervattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:15 Tondi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Madayipara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Madayi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Cannanore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Bekal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Kumbla India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 04:15 Aramda India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 19:30 Gadechi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:45 Jambura India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Tanur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Ponnani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Agastiswaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Cape Comorin India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 'Urf Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 19:15 Okha India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 13:45 Kakinada India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 21:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Edakkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Dharmadam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Tellicherry India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Mahe India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Pahel Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Laft Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 14:15 Pentakota India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:15 Jodiya India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:30 Jhankhar India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 00:30 Sika India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Quilandi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:30 Beypore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Chaughat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Pappinivatti India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 14:15 Venkatapuram India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 14:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 11:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 13:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1