Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

30 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.3 m	97 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,030

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	42,830
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	2,114,533	+
	India	2,051,689
	Sri Lanka	62,844

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	239	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Kambhat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Kavi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Sarod	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Dahej	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	30 Oct 2019 18:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:30	Daman	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:30	Udvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Malyan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Delvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Boisar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Palghar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Mahim	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Murud	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:30	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:45	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:45	Manki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:30	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Shil	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 13:15	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 13:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Periathullay	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Bekal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Adiura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Pural	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 18:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Achra	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Gorser	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Udipi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Jodiya	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:45	Mulki	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Edakkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Mahe	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Payyoli	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Ratia	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Kumbla	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:15	Chervattur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:15	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:15	Barambah	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Haripad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Jambura	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Mundra	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Al Qurayyah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Adgat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Khawr Fakkan	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 22:00	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Madayipara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 23:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Hasik	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:00	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Suthri	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Billa	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Barka	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Pusht	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Pesabandar	Iran	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 21:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Jiwani	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Sika	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:30	Al Fujayrah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:30	Kalba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Okha	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Aramda	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Khawr Kalba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Gadechi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Ponnani	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 19:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Madhi	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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