Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

31 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	112 km/h	0.4 m	220 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,030

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	34,533
50-100 mm	India	9,531,674

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	282	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Sarod	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 03:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 03:15	Dahej	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 03:15	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 01:30	Kotada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 02:00	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 01:30	Damka	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 23:45	Daman	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:45	Udvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Maroli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Boisar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Umbargam	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Vasai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Shil	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Adodar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Porbandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Alibag	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:30	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Murud	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Manki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Karwar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:30	Revadanda	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Boria	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Majali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 17:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Anjuna	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Miyani	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Pural	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Adiura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Periathullay	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Lamba	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Madayi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Achra	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 19:30	Malvan	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Edakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Mahe	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Payyoli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Kayalpatnam	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Suthri	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Haripad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Bekal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Cannanore	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Madhi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Jambura	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Chervattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Gadechi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Okha	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Aramda	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Mundra	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Mandvi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 23:30	Sika	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Bhadia	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 23:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 21:30	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 23:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Barambah	Pakistan	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Alleppey	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Kolachel	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Cochin	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Al Qurayyah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Adgat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Khawr Fakkan	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Pusht	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Pesabandar	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Jiwani	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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