Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (30 Oct 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.4 m 233 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia29,369 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia35,158 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka27,962,296
+
India27,405,764 
Sri Lanka556,532 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 313 40 thousand
- - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Ghalat, Oman. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Ghalat Oman  0.4
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Sharkh Oman  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 15:45 As Sirab Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Mahuva India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:45 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:45 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Kotada India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Nafun Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Rohisa India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Damka India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Nawabandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:30 Umbargam India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:30 Maroli India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:30 Daman India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:30 Udvada India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:15 Gholvad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:15 Bordi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Tarapur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Shirgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Palghar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Boisar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:15 Malyan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Kumta India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:45 Mahim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Agashi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Vasai India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Manki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Dongri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:15 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Belekeri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Maghilah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Karwar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Mursays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Hiql Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Mumbai India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Alibag India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Majali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Kasaragod India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Bekal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Nileshwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Revadanda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Panaji India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Miji Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Turavur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Anjuna India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Fararah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Mattancheri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Periathullay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tiruchendur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Somnath India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Edakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahe India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Badagara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Chorwad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Boria India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Guhagar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Purangad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Purnagad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Adiura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Chervattur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Jaigarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Mirya India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Ratnagiri India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mangrol India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Vijayadurg India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Devgarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Pural India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Shil India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Malvan India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Kumbla India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:45 Udipi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Achra India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Haripad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Kayankulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Karunagapalli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Dayl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Al Qasabiyat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Al Khaburah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Khalil Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mawalis Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Azaiba Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayipara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Azhikkal India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:30 Sirik Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:30 Mulki India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Cannanore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Ratia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Gorser India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Alleppey India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Ambalapulai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Quilandi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Quilon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Had Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Pappinivatti India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Manumah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Varkkallai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Anjengo India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Manattala India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Suthri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Chaughat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Talikkulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Kattumavadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Manamelkudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Ammapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Shinas Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Dawanij Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Puvar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Vembar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Gadechi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Aramda India  0.1