Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

02 Nov 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	104 km/h	0.4 m	87 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Sri Lanka	48,544
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	6,640,773	+
	India	2,348,435
	Sri Lanka	4,292,338

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	340	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Sarod	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 06:00	Wadgam	India	0.4
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Tuna	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Jodiya	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Kotada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Aramda	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 14:45	Jambura	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Delvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 11:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Mundra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Harinagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Tarapur	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Palghar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Boisar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Damka	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Malyan	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Mahim	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Daman	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Udvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 13:45	Sika	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Chorwad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Shil	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:15	Revadanda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Bhogat	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Murud	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 13:45	Bada	Pakistan	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Gokarn	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Honavar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Ankola	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Adiura	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 13:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 13:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Manki	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Belekeri	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 13:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 13:45	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Devgarh	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:30	Pural	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:45	Achra	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Karwar	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Malvan	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Vengurla	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Terekhol	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Advota	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Chaudi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Majali	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Chopdem	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Kundapura	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 06:15	Anjuna	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Madgaon	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Marmagao	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agacaim	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:00	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 03:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.