Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

07 Nov 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (07 Nov 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	56 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan	2,890

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	05 Nov 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	05 Nov 2019 06:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	05 Nov 2019 12:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	05 Nov 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	06 Nov 2019 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	06 Nov 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	06 Nov 2019 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
31	06 Nov 2019 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
32	07 Nov 2019 00:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	29,440,948	+
	India	29,340,247
	Sri Lanka	100,701

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	05 Nov 2019 00:00	233	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	05 Nov 2019 06:00	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	05 Nov 2019 12:00	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	05 Nov 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	06 Nov 2019 00:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	06 Nov 2019 06:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	06 Nov 2019 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	06 Nov 2019 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	07 Nov 2019 00:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Sarod	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 03:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 02:15	Damka	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 04:15	Ghogha	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 03:45	Harinagar	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 05:15	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 05:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 05:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 04:45	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 05:30	Mahuva	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Delvada	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 02:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 05:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 05:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:00	Kodinar	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.