Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Nov 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 170 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka6,360,275
+
India5,028,620 
Sri Lanka1,331,655 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 220 -
- - - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2019 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2019 23:45 Kambhat India  0.4
01 Nov 2019 23:45 Kavi India  0.4
01 Nov 2019 23:45 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Ghogha India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 16:45 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 16:45 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:45 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Nawabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Gholvad India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Tuna India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jodiya India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kodinar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:30 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Veraval India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Somnath India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Boisar India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jambura India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Mangrol India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Chorwad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Shil India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Mahim India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Suthri India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Mundra India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Vasai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Mandvi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:30 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Malad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:00 Porbandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Gokarn India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Kumta India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Ankola India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Dwarka India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Manki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Karwar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:00 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:30 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Madhi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Bhogat India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Alibag India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Mavalli India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Shirali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Majali India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Revadanda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Udipi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Ratnagiri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Malvan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Pural India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Adiura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Mulki India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 20:30 Bada Pakistan  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Filim Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 20:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 20:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.1