Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 149 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia52,063 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia32,818 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka12,434,811
+
India12,297,488 
Sri Lanka137,323 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 250 30 thousand
- - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Rohisa India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 As Sirab Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Damka India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Tarapur India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Malyan India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Maroli India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Gholvad India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Umbargam India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:30 Nafun Oman  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Mahim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Agashi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Vasai India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 23:00 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Dongri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:15 Malad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Sharkh Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kodinar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Ghalat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Kumta India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Mumbai India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Manki India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Somnath India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Belekeri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Chorwad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Mangrol India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Shil India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 21:15 Alibag India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Guhagar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Bankot India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Kelshi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Boria India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Revadanda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Murud India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Ratia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Gorser India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Kundapura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Majali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Panaji India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Adodar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Vijayadurg India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Porbandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Pural India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Periathullay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tiruchendur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Miji Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Malvan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Achra India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Edakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahe India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Badagara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Payyoli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Malan Pakistan  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Miyani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Nileshwar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Udipi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Lamba India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Mulki India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mawalis Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Azaiba Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Kumbla India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Bhogat India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Haripad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Kayankulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Karunagapalli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Chervattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Cannanore India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayipara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Chirakkal India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Madhi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Filim Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Dwarka India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Sirik Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Turavur India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Suthri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Quilandi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tanur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Manumah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Pusht Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Mattancheri India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Gadechi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Okha India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Manattala India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chaughat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Talikkulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Kattumavadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Manamelkudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Aramda India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.1