Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

06 Nov 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (07 Nov 15:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	115 km/h	0.4 m	97 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 180 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan	183,675

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	05 Nov 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	05 Nov 2019 06:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	05 Nov 2019 12:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	05 Nov 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	06 Nov 2019 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	06 Nov 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	06 Nov 2019 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	3,436
50-100 mm	India	20,838,343

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	05 Nov 2019 00:00	233	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	05 Nov 2019 06:00	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	05 Nov 2019 12:00	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	05 Nov 2019 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	06 Nov 2019 00:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	06 Nov 2019 06:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	06 Nov 2019 12:00	102	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 15:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Kambhat	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Kavi	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Sarod	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Wadgam	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 17:45	Ghogha	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 11:45	Dahej	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 11:45	Harinagar	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 13:00	Kotada	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 12:45	Mahuva	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 13:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 12:45	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 11:00	Damka	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 08:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 08:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Daman	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 07:30	Delvada	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 07:30	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 14:45	Malyan	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 14:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 14:45	Boisar	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Kodinar	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:30	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:30	Palghar	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:00	Mahim	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:15	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:15	Agashi	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:15	Vasai	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 18:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 18:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 08:00	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Veraval	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 06:30	Somnath	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 14:15	Dongri	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Tondi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Jodiya	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:15	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	08 Nov 2019 14:00	Pentakota	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 15:45	Devipatam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 15:45	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:15	Aramda	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.