Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

17 May 2021 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	169 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.7 m (17 May 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	169 km/h	3.7 m	173 mm	1.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	17,956
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	69,130,737	+
	Pakistan	21,837
	India	69,108,899

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	151	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
11	16 May 2021 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
13	17 May 2021 06:00	169	20 thousand		-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	467,280
100-250 mm	India, Nepal, China	28,106,320	+
	India	27,779,717
	China	12
	Nepal	326,589
50-100 mm	India, China, Nepal	103,514,742	+
	India	102,767,705
	China	6,892
	Nepal	740,144

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	193	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	215	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	16 May 2021 18:00	251	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	204	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
13	17 May 2021 06:00	310	28.6 million				-	-	-	India, China, Nepal

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

3.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.7m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 23:15	Wadgam	India	3.7
	17 May 2021 23:15	Kambhat	India	3.7
	17 May 2021 23:15	Kavi	India	3.6
	17 May 2021 23:15	Sarod	India	3.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Tankari	India	3.6
	17 May 2021 22:45	Asarsa	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 22:30	Harinagar	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 22:15	Ghogha	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 22:15	Dahej	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 22:15	Muler	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	3.0
	17 May 2021 17:30	Mahuva	India	3.0
	17 May 2021 17:45	Kotada	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 20:45	Hansot	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 19:45	Bhagva	India	2.7
	17 May 2021 17:15	Jafarabad	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 19:30	Damka	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 19:45	Olpad	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 19:45	Surat	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Jalalpur	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Mahuver	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:45	Rohisa	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Nausari	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Navsari	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:45	Dharabandar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Dharasana	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 19:15	Valsad	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 19:30	Bilimora	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 18:45	Udvada	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 18:45	Daman	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 18:15	Maroli	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Umbargam	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 17:30	Delvada	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 17:30	Nawabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Bordi	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Gholvad	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:15	Malyan	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 18:15	Sakhare	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 18:15	Tarapur	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 18:45	Boisar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:45	Shirgaon	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 18:45	Palghar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 18:45	Mahim	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 13:15	Mumbai	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:15	Asumumbay	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:15	Uran	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:15	Trombay	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:15	Diva	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 13:15	Taloje	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:30	Malad	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:45	Nalasopara	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:45	Agashi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:45	Dongri	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:45	Vasai	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:15	Navghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:30	Mandve	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Alibag	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Revadanda	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:00	Kodinar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:15	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 09:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 09:15	Srivardhan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Bankot	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Kelshi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:15	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:15	Guhagar	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:45	Boria	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:30	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:30	Somnath	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 20:30	Veraval	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 21:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 21:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 21:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	19 May 2021 21:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:30	Mirya	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 08:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 18:15	New Kandla	India	0.4
	19 May 2021 18:15	Navlakhi	India	0.4
	20 May 2021 02:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	20 May 2021 02:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	20 May 2021 01:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Jodiya	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 00:00	Akri	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:15	Tuna	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 08:15	Purnagad	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:15	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 08:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 08:15	Adiura	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 22:30	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 21:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Jambura	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 23:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 08:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Mundra	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:30	Gadechi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:30	Okha	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:30	Aramda	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Sika	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:30	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:30	Salaya	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 07:45	Pural	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 08:00	Devgarh	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 07:45	Achra	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Shil	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 07:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 22:15	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:15	Gorser	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 14:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 21:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Honavar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Manki	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Mavalli	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Shirali	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:45	Kumta	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:30	Nizampatam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:30	Kottapalem	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 17:30	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:45	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Melmandai	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Vembar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Gokarn	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 22:15	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 07:45	Vengurla	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 07:45	Terekhol	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Karwar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Belekeri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Ankola	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 19:15	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:45	Kundapura	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 22:00	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:15	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:15	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 21:30	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 13:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 08:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Marmagao	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Panaji	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Agacaim	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:30	Madgaon	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:00	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:30	Tis	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:30	Chah Bahar	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:30	Ahmadizeh	Iran	0.1
	18 May 2021 12:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:00	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:15	Majali	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:30	Gollapalem	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 15:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.