Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	108 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (15 May 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	108 km/h	0.4 m	387 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	223 km/h	2.5 m	1057 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

223 km/h

Up to 22.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	22,687,104

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 May 2021 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 May 2021 00:00	202	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	55,064
100-250 mm	India	13,049,880
50-100 mm	India	18,237,301

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 May 2021 12:00	372	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 May 2021 00:00	1084	13.1 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Honavar, India. This height is estimated for 15 May 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 May 2021 01:15	Honavar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Manki	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Mavalli	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Shirali	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Bainduru	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Chittadi	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:15	Karwar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:15	Belekeri	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:15	Ankola	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:15	Gokarn	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:15	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:15	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 01:15	Kumta	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 05:30	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:45	Kundapura	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:15	Madgaon	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:00	Majali	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 05:45	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:00	Advota	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:30	Marmagao	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:30	Agacaim	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:45	Udipi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 02:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 05:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Terekhol	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:45	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Tanur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:45	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:30	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:45	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:15	Malvan	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Chervattur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Cannanore	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Machan	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:45	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:30	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Cochin	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Pural	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Achra	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Alleppey	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Purangad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Purnagad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:15	Adiura	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:15	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:00	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:00	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Mirya	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 02:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Karunagapalli	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.