Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
13 Oct 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 1.3 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm 		Population in
Cat. 1 or higher		 Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 130 920 thousand No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.2 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 120 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 111 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 102 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 111 1.4 million No people Yemen, Saudi Arabia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)		 Population in
Tropical Storm		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher		 Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
GREEN
 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
GREEN
 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
GREEN
 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.9
GREEN
 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.8
GREEN
 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.6
GREEN
 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.4
GREEN
 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, 57.1
GREEN
 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.6, 56.4
GREEN
 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.6, 55.7
GREEN
 21 13 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 82000 people no people 14.6, 54.2 Yemen
GREEN
 21 14 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 610000 people no people 14.7, 52.5 Yemen
GREEN
 21 14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 1.3 million people no people 15, 50.7 Yemen
GREEN
 21 15 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 1.3 million people no people 15.4, 49.4 Yemen
GREEN
 21 16 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.5, 48 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Yemen
Saudi Arabia

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Al Mahrah Yemen -
Hadhramaut Yemen -
Ash Sharqiyah Saudi Arabia -
'Ataq Yemen -
Undefined Yemen -
Najran Saudi Arabia 320000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City - 682 km
Al Mukalla Yemen City - 708 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Al Gaidah AAY 30 Civ. Paved No 8800 417 km
Qishn IHN 30 Civ. Unpaved No 3200 440 km
Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800 681 km
Mukalla MKX unknown 0 708 km
Canoxy 1003 0 720 km
Sayun GXF 640 Civ. Unpaved No 9800 758 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Ras Fartak Yemen 392 km
Nishtun YENIS Yemen 400 km
Sayhut Yemen 490 km
Ash Shihr Yemen 670 km
Mukalla YEMKX Yemen 707 km
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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tamnum, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (64 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 13 Oct 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Qishn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Itab Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.3
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Hasana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Sarar Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 'Isa Town Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Ar Rifa Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Miji Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 18:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Filim Oman  0.1