Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 87 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (05 Dec 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 87 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 92 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

92 km/h

Up to 590 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India591,479
+
Iran78,291 
Pakistan493,907 
India19,281 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 87 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Mumbai India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Asumumbay India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Mandve India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Uran India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Trombay India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Taloje India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:45 Srivardhan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:45 Bankot India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:45 Kelshi India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Murud India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Revadanda India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Alibag India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Malad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Dongri India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Anjanwel India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Udipi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Agashi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Wadgam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Kambhat India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Kavi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Sarod India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Boria India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Mahim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:00 Mirya India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Shirgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Palghar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Bhagva India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Olpad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:00 Purnagad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Anjuna India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Marmagao India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Panaji India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 06:00 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:30 Purangad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Boisar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:00 Adiura India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 16:45 Bainduru India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 16:45 Chittadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Mahuva India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Nawabandar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Rohisa India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Shirali India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Tarapur India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Pural India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Achra India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 21:30 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Ghogha India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Dahej India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Delvada India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tanur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 12:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Malvan India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Gholvad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Malyan India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Kasaragod India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Bekal India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Nileshwar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Bordi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Umbargam India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Maroli India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Trikkaripur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Madayipara India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Madayi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Harinagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Kotada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Udvada India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Damka India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Mangaluru India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Advota India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Majali India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 09:45 Mulki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:45 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Manki India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Turavur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Tankari India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Ponnani India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Vijayapati India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Periathullay India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Mahe India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Badagara India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Payyoli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Daman India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Talakkolattur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Kozhikode India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Beypore India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Chaliyam India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 19:45 Kumbla India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 13:15 Tiruchendur India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:45 Pappinivatti India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:45 Veliyangod India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 10:45 Kadikkad India  0.2
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Valapattanam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Azhikkal India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Cannanore India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:00 Erukkandurai India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Sutrapada India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Lodhwa India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Kodinar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:00 Alleppey India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:30 Cochin India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 19:15 Chervattur India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Somnath India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Ratia India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Gorser India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Chorwad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Veraval India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:45 Edakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Shil India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:00 Mangrol India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Haripad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:30 Karunagapalli India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 18:30 Tellicherry India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Adodar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Porbandar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Manattala India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:45 Pahel Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:45 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:45 Laft Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Agastiswaram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Cape Comorin India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Beruwala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Akadagoda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Ambalangoda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:15 Vilinjam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:15 Puvar India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:15 Taingapatam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:15 Kolachel India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Chaughat India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Talikkulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 12:45 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:00 Quilon India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Devipatam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Panalkkulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Irumeni India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 20:00 Pamban India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:45 Thoothukkudi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Melmandai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Vembar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Miyani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Bhogat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Lamba India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Pondicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 13:00 Kalapettai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Colombo Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:30 Dehiwala Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:45 Cuddalore India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Yala Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Rameswaram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Hambantota Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:30 Kirinda Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:00 Chilaw Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:00 Adapparagama Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:00 Arachchikattuwa Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:00 Akkaraweli Sri Lanka  0.1