Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-19
in Mexico
15 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Nov 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 243 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico59 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico102,581 
100-250 mmMexico30,317 
50-100 mmMexico23,820 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 527 130 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Playa Colorada, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2019 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Nov 2019 02:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 09:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 Nautla Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 07:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 07:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 07:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 04:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
16 Nov 2019 08:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 09:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 15:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:15 El Tular Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:15 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 04:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
16 Nov 2019 09:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 09:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:15 La Mata Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:15 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 11:45 Montepio Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 09:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 03:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 15:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1