Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-19
in Mexico
16 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Nov 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.2 m 226 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 6 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico6,422 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Nov 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Nov 2019 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico54 
100-250 mmMexico25,298 
50-100 mmMexico272,386 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Nov 2019 06:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Nov 2019 18:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Nov 2019 00:00 426 30 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Boca del Rio, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2019 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Nov 2019 02:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 11:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 05:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 14:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 14:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 16:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 16:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 03:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 Conejo Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 17:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 02:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 03:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 16:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 16:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 16:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 14:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 14:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 10:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 10:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 14:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 05:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 05:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 11:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 11:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 06:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 11:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 11:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 20:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 19:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 07:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 14:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:30 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 04:45 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 01:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 12:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 19:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1