Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia
03 Dec 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Dec 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 110 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 778 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Dec 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmYemen, Somalia50,173
+
Yemen23,088 
Somalia27,085 
50-100 mmOman, Yemen, Somalia160,747
+
Oman1,158 
Yemen25,016 
Somalia134,573 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 476 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Dec 2019 00:00 508 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 305 50 thousand
- - - - Oman, Yemen, Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Baarbacadle, Somalia. This height is estimated for 03 Dec 2019 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Eyl Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 16:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 16:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 16:00 Saylac Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 17:45 'Ag Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:15 Boho Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:15 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 19:45 Mach Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 14:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Culli Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Dauli Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:00 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:45 Hen Daier Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:45 Hobyo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:15 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:15 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:45 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:45 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1