Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Jul 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 327 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico149631 
50-100 mmMexico269300 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 576 150 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua de las Flores, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 16:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 16:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 16:30 El Barril Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 16:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Gregory United States  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Buena Vista United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 17:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Apisa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link