Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (09 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	47 km/h	0.2 m	149 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	656

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	14,311,218
50-100 mm	Mexico	16,116,037

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	687	14.3 million			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Aug 2020 03:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 04:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 04:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 04:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 04:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 02:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 05:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 06:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.