Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (12 Aug 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.5 m 171 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 126 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico4,140 
50-100 mmMexico742,406 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 217 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 756 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Aug 2020 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Aug 2020 10:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Molino Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 09:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 09:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 11:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Rosario Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Portland United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gregory United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:45 Estes United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Coyote Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Chagues Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Rockport United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1