Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 Aug 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.6 m 133 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico41
+
United States36 
Mexico05 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 126 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1071 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico12,111,664 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 217 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 694 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Aug 2020 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Aug 2020 10:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Molino Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.6
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 02:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Empalme Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Novillero Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Rosario Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 21:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 16:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Ligui Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 22:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 23:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 00:15 La Boca Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Altata Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 15:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 La Redonda Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Chagues Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 16:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Copala Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 El Marques Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Austwell United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Nuxco Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 04:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:00 Calvario Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 16:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Pizota Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Corrales Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Ipala Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Joluta Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Chamela Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Portland United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Gregory United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 17:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 16:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:15 Chula Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Estes United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Apisa Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Maruata Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 17:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
14 Aug 2020 00:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 04:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:45 Rockport United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Lamar United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Yarborough United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 05:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Fulton United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 16:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 16:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1