Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (09 Aug 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico705
+
United States49 
Mexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 126 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 13 Aug 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 13 Aug 2020 12:00 86 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1071 mm

Up to 23.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico23,668,871 
50-100 mmMexico31,901,627 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 192 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 217 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Aug 2020 00:00 260 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Aug 2020 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Aug 2020 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Aug 2020 18:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 13 Aug 2020 00:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 13 Aug 2020 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 13 Aug 2020 12:00 826 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Molino Mexico  0.7
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.7
14 Aug 2020 20:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.6
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.6
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.6
14 Aug 2020 20:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.6
14 Aug 2020 21:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 San Jose Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Novillero Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.4
15 Aug 2020 11:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.4
15 Aug 2020 11:00 Empalme Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.4
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.4
15 Aug 2020 10:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 Datilito Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 La Paz Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 Rosario Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.4
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Ligui Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Tripui Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 11:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 11:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 21:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 11:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Liliba Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 10:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:00 Altata Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 00:00 La Boca Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 12:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 19:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 12:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Coyote Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:30 Copala Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Chagues Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.3
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Blas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 El Marques Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 23:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:00 Nuxco Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:00 Calvario Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 23:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Austwell United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
16 Aug 2020 06:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 17:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 17:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 17:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Joluta Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Chula Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 04:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 20:45 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:00 Maruata Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 05:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 05:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 11:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:15 Bucerias Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:15 Apisa Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:15 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 El Real Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 22:15 Pizota Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 15:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Santiago Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 05:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 22:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 22:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 22:30 Ipala Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 22:15 Chamela Mexico  0.2
15 Aug 2020 21:45 Chola Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 North Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Doyle United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Portland United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Gregory United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 06:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 05:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Estes United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
14 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
14 Aug 2020 23:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 19:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:30 Lamar United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 05:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
15 Aug 2020 03:30 Fulton United States  0.1
14 Aug 2020 03:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 01:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1