Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 Aug 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.5 m 197 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 1071 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico521 
Tropical StormMexico135 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 151 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico6,116,311 
50-100 mmMexico22,700,743 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 509 6.1 million
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 07:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 07:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 09:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 10:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 10:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 06:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 North Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Doyle United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Portland United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Gregory United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 12:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:00 Estes United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:00 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 11:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 07:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 08:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1